With polls showing Biden ahead, can Trump repeat 2016 surprise win?

Donald Trump and Joe Biden square off for their final debate this week as the former vice president leads Trump in key polling. YouTube C-SPAN)

A series of Rasmussen surveys in at least three key states that President Donald Trump must win in order to secure a second White House term show him trailing former Vice President Joe Biden, raising concerns among Trump supporters about whether the president can pull it off.

According to Rasmussen, a survey of likely voters in Arizona shows Biden ahead 48-46 percent, although Trump faced longer odds in several states prior to Election Day 2016 when he stunned the world by taking key states with enough Electoral College votes to win.

This new comes as Trump and Biden are preparing for their second and final debate. The “debate” that never happened several days ago found the president and his challenger holding competing “Town Hall” events on different networks at the same time.

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Rasmussen said three percent of Arizona voters prefer “some other candidate,” and another three percent are “undecided.” However, the polling outfit noted, “Factor in those who haven’t made up their minds yet but are leaning toward one candidate or the other, and Biden has a minimal 48% to 47% lead.

In a separate survey—this one among likely voters in Ohio—Rasmussen pollsters found Biden leading Trump again 48 to 46 percent. Once again, if the undecided voters are factored in, Biden’s lead narrows to a single percentage point, which essentially puts the Buckeye race at a dead heat with less than two weeks remaining before the election Nov. 3.

Rasmussen noted, “In 2016, Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by eight points in Ohio, carrying nearly 52% of the state’s voters. Forty-one percent (41%) of voters in the Buckeye State have already voted this election cycle. Among these voters, Biden leads by a whopping 61% to 34%.”

According to Rasmussen, 89 percent of all Ohio voters have already decided who gets their vote, and among them, Biden leads 50-48 percent.

Pennsylvania is another key state, and Rasmussen said voters there apparently support Biden over Trump, 50-45 percent. Two percent prefer a different candidate and three percent of voters remain undecided.

Trump barely squeaked past Clinton in Pennsylvania four years ago, but he held a rally there that drew hordes of supporters while Biden apparently remains secluded at his Delaware home.

But here is an alarming statistic. According to Rasmussen, “Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters in the Keystone State have already voted this election cycle. Among these voters, Biden leads 78% to 19%.”

If the president is determined to win in Pennsylvania, he may need to scramble. Rasmussen notes that among the 92 percent of Pennsylvanians who plan to vote, Biden leads 52-44 percent.


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