Ohio Gov. John Kasich won his home state of Ohio after receiving over $200,000 from the Soros Fund Management. It was a big win for him, but so far it’s been the only win.
The electoral mathematics are clear — in order to win the nomination outright, he would have to garner over 100 percent of the remaining available delegates, and that just isn’t going to happen.
Kasich seemed to acknowledge that, foreshadowing a long campaign that yields a convention with more than one candidate still standing. “I may go to the convention before this is over with more delegates than anyone else,” Kasich boasted to CNN after the network called the race.
The math is daunting. Kasich entered the day with just 63 delegates out of the more than 1,000 already awarded. He’ll claim another 66 from Ohio, and at best would claim a significant share of delegates in Illinois. But with only 1,000 delegates remaining on the calendar after Tuesday, Kasich won’t be able to clear a majority – the 1,237 delegates necessary to win the nomination outright.
Who would you vote for if the elections were held today? (1)
Nevertheless, he has decided to remain in the race. Why?
There can be only one reason. If he is able to siphon enough delegates from the two remaining candidates — Ted Cruz and Donald Trump — he can ensure that none of them receive enough delegates to get the nomination.
And there is only one result of that — a brokered convention, which is what the GOP elites and king-makers want.
If Trump can’t secure the nomination outright by winning a majority of delegates ahead of the convention, then Kasich is counting on a contested convention in which allegiances and loyalties shift dramatically. It would require a dramatic reversal for convention delegates – who will almost certainly head to the convention overwhelmingly supporting anti-establishment candidates Trump and Cruz – to flip their support to a candidate running on his depth of experience and establishment credentials.
The establishment simply will not tolerate having either Cruz or Trump as the party nominee, and are willing to risk destroying the party to make it happen. Moreover, they’ve demonstrated their willingness to do whatever it takes to get their way.
As we reported earlier in this process, polls showed that in a two-man race between Cruz and Trump, Cruz would win. Marco Rubio is now out of the running, having been thoroughly trounced in Florida.
He suspended his campaign, a wise decision, even though it’s a bit late. Kasich should have done the same thing a long time ago.
Now he’s hoping for a brokered convention — one in which the will of millions of Republican voters can get tossed out the window in favor of yet another squishy moderate loser. The ultimate winner, of course, would be Hillary Clinton.
And George Soros couldn’t be happier.
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