An Analysis Of Trump’s Withdrawal From Obama’s Iran Nuclear Facade

On Tuesday, our good friend Jeff Dunetz offered his take on President Trump’s withdrawal from the horrible Iranian nuclear deal.

He began:

“I am announcing today that the United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal.” With those words, President Trump made the expected announcement that the United States is getting out from the very flawed JCPOA. After his speech, the President signed an executive order that reinstated the U.S. sanctions to where they were the day the JCPOA was approved.

The President began his speech by outlining his issues with the Iranian regime. Indicting them as “the leading state sponsor of terror. It exports dangerous missiles, fuels conflicts across the Middle East, and supports terrorist proxies and militias such as Hezbollah, Hamas, the Taliban and Al Qaeda”

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He continued:

He also pointed out that Netanyahu’s presentation last week proved that Iran had been lying to the world about its history of pursuing nuclear weapons.

Trump emphasized that even if the deal was allowed to stand, Iran would be able to break out to a nuclear weapon very quickly.

“Making matters worse, the deal’s inspection provisions lack adequate mechanisms to prevent, detect, and punish cheating—and don’t even have the unqualified right to inspect many important locations, including military facilities”

In other words, no one can say Iran is compliant with the JCPOA, we don’t know if they are because not all of the important sites are allowed to be inspected.  Which was a point often made on this site, and that National Security Adviser John Bolton drove home the post-speech press briefing.

Bolton added that:

“Lifting the sanctions, as happened in 2015 as a result of the [Iran] deal, helps fuel the activity that Iran is undertaking now in Syria, its support for terrorist groups all around the region and the world like Hezbollah and Hamas. To really deal with this threat and try to bring peace and stability to the Middle East, and to relieve the world of the nuclear threat, you have to go after the whole thing. This is what he talked about with the European leaders and what we’re going to try to pursue.”

This was no snap decision, made on a whim, he further said: “He first announced in October 2017 that if the deal wasn’t changed the U.S. would withdraw. He repeated that warning in major January address.”

“Based on President Trump’s track record of using maximum pressure to begin a détente with North Korea, don’t be surprised if Tuesday’s speech isn’t the end of the JCPOA but perhaps the beginning of a brand-new deal that does what the JCPOA promised but didn’t achieve,” Dunetz said.

There’s more — much more, here.

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