Republicans Double ‘Generic’ Lead In One Week

A new survey indicates Republicans nearly doubled their lead in just one week in the “generic ballot” that measures party support in the upcoming congressional elections.

Republicans held a 4-percentage-point lead over Democrats last week in the Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters, and the latest shows the GOP 7 points aheadreports Washington Examiner columnist Paul Bedard.

Likely voters prefer Republicans 48%-41%, with just 7% unsure.

Bedard pointed out the gap is significant, because “generic ballot” polls typically underestimate the size of Republican support.

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Republican pollsters such as Ed Goeas have observed that Republicans typically score big victories after polls show Democrats with a lead of 3 points or less.

If the margin is within 5 points, he said, the GOP usually picks up some seats.

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Rasmussen has done a breakdown of the generic ballot in the six key battleground states in the 2020 presidential election:

  • Arizona: Republican +3
  • Georgia: Republican +11
  • Michigan: Republican +4
  • Ohio: Republican +6
  • Pennsylvania: Republican +5
  • Wisconsin: Republican +4

Only Ohio went for President Trump in 2020, according to the official tally.

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