ElectionsPolitics

Looks like red wave rising, says poll and pundits

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich suggests that a “red wave” may be growing toward November, which would be bad news for Democrats. (YouTube, RNC)

There could be a “red wave” rising that will bring more Republican voters to the polls in November than either Democrats or independents, according to a new Rasmussen survey released Thursday.

Rasmussen reported that, “70% of Likely Republican Voters say they are more likely to vote this year than they have been in past election years. That compares to 64% of Democrats and 51% of voters not affiliated with either major political party.”

However, a different survey, by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal has Democrats ahead right now by ten percent, according to Seattle P-I.com columnist Joel Connelly.

According to former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, writing at Fox News, “Americans are beginning to conclude that their lives are getting better, and that President Trump and Republican leadership are a part of that phenomenon.”

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“The result has been a collapse of the Democratic advantage in the generic ballot from a double-digit lead in December to some polls now showing Republicans on top,” Gingrich wrote Thursday. “This is an enormous shift.”

And David Bossie, another conservative commentator writing at Fox, had this to say:

“The results in Tuesday’s primaries in eight states are an early indication that President Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda and accomplishments are winning the support of the American people. This is good news for Republicans running in the Nov. 6 midterm elections.

“The Trump agenda of economic growth, job creation, border security, and peace through strength abroad is causing voters to seriously consider the consequences of supporting candidates who carry the Democratic mantle of tax hikes, protecting sanctuary cities, and the hyper-partisan and baseless impeachment witch hunt.”

However, five months remain before the November mid-term elections, and that is an eternity in politics. So many things can change, and when political activists start a conversation with “If the election were held today…” the polite thing to do is remind them that the election is not being “held today.”

Rasmussen’s report noted that 48 percent of voters say “they are more likely to vote in the next election for a member of the House or Senate who opposes President Trump’s agenda. Just half as many (24%) say they are less likely to vote for a Trump opponent. Twenty-two percent (22%) say a congressional incumbent’s support or opposition to the president will have no impact on their vote.” That hasn’t changed much since August of last year, Rasmussen noted.

Rasmussen’s daily presidential tracking poll has 49 percent of likely voters approving of Donald Trump’s performance, while an equal number (49%) disapprove. This could change dramatically next week when the president is scheduled to meet in Singapore with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un.

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