Politics

Don’t Expect Gun-Grabbers To ‘Believe The Science’ With THIS New Study

The findings of a study published at the Journal of Surgical Research are devastating to the left’s favorite talking points.

The Hochul debate, Beto’s failure, and Biden’s frequent return to the topic remind us of one thing: the ONLY kind of crime Dems recognize is gun crime, and their solution has nothing to do with the real cause.

Their solutions always focus on the tool being used (a gun) and almost never focus on the trends or motivations of the criminals taking lives.

As the horrific murders in Moscow Idaho, New York subway killers, and the driver who mowed down dozens of police recruits out for a run remind us, when someone is intent on taking a life, there are many ways to do so.

If there is one catchphrase that the left really loved to throw around in justifying their various COVIDictator impulses during the pandemic, it was ‘Believe the Science’.

Let’s see how their opinions about ‘the science’ hold up now that we have a 50-state study looking into the ACTUAL connections between legal gun sales and gun crime.

This particular study was published in the aforementioned journal under the title, ‘Legal Firearm Sales at State Level and Rates of Violent Crime, Property Crime, and Homicides

The question whose answer they set out to find was simple, and stated in the introduction section of the study’s abstract:

The effects of firearm sales and legislation on crime and violence are intensely debated, with multiple studies yielding differing results. We hypothesized that increased lawful firearm sales would not be associated with the rates of crime and homicide when studied using a robust statistical method.

They explained their methodology:

National and state rates of crime and homicide during 1999-2015 were obtained from the United States Department of Justice and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Instant Criminal Background Check System background checks were used as a surrogate for lawful firearm sales. A general multiple linear regression model using log event rates was used to assess the effect of firearm sales on crime and homicide rates. Additional modeling was then performed on a state basis using an autoregressive correlation structure with generalized estimating equation estimates for standard errors to adjust for the interdependence of variables year to year within a particular state.

Their analysis directly addressed the flaw in the left’s logic assuming rising gun sales and rising gun crime rates showed a direct connection between the two:

Nationally, all crime rates except the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention–designated firearm homicides decreased as firearm sales increased over the study period. Using a naive national model, increases in firearm sales were associated with significant decreases in multiple crime categories. However, a more robust analysis using generalized estimating equation estimates on state-level data demonstrated increases in firearms sales were not associated with changes in any crime variables examined.

Their conclusion blew away the critical talking points relied on by gun-grabbers. Key phrases have been highlighted in bold for any of the liberal lurkers or 2A skeptics who may be reading this story:

Robust analysis does not identify an association between increased lawful firearm sales and rates of crime or homicide. Based on this, it is unclear if efforts to limit lawful firearm sales would have any effect on rates of crime, homicide, or injuries from violence committed with firearms.

Let’s not kid ourselves here. The gun control lobby is a huge grift for the left. If they couldn’t say ‘no’ to teachers’ unions when they demanded COVID school closures, don’t expect them to change their approach to guns just because the data tells them they are wrong.

The ordinary voter, on the other hand, might be persuadable. If they are persuaded, they could demand that Dems to go after the real causes of the soaring crime rates instead of the busywork that makes politicians look like they are ‘doing something’.

Cross-posted with Clash Daily

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