ElectionsOpinionPolitics

Are Dems diving in popularity? Polling may suggest they are

A new report in Mediaite.com – based on a story in the New York Times – suggests some bad news for Democrats heading into 2020.

Polling data suggests Democrats are losing popularity among voters. Could the presidential debates be part of this? (Screen snip, YouTube, NBC)

Polling data on the party’s popularity has, in the words of the Times article, “flipped.” Last year, Americans reportedly had a 53 percent favorable view of the Democrat Party. This year, that’s declined to 42 percent while Republicans have evidently rebounded from their 43 percent favorable rating last year to a 52 percent favorable this year. A year in politics can be an eternity.

Part of the polling cited by news agencies shows support for gun background checks at 88 percent, while 10 percent oppose expanded checks. However, according to the Washington Examiner, gun sales may have jumped in August, possibly because of concerns of new gun control measures coming in the wake of mass shootings in California, Texas and Ohio.

Likewise, many people may have purchased guns for protection in the event they are caught in a mass shooting.

Will this presidential election be the most important in American history?

With Congress back in session, gun control is high on the priority list, but that could be a double-edged sword. If they reach some compromise with Republicans, and it is passed this year, what are Democrats going to run on in 2020 when they want to unseat President Donald Trump and take control of the Senate?

Another issue popular with Democrats could hurt them next year. A new Rasmussen survey revealed Tuesday that only 35 percent of likely voters think illegal immigrants should be eligible for driver’s licenses in their states. While that is up from 28 percent two years ago, 57 percent still believe it’s wrong to issue driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants. That’s down from 77 percent a dozen years ago when the same question was asked.

Handing out such driver’s licenses is more popular with Democrats (53%) than Republicans. GOP voters dislike the idea by a 75 percent margin, and 60 percent of independents agree.

Only 25 percent of survey respondents think giving driver’s licenses to illegal immigrants will improve public safety while 41 percent think it will hurt public safety and 28 percent believe it won’t make any difference, Rasmussen reported.

All of this could be academic, of course, since public opinion can shift on the proverbial dime between now and the 2020 election. Some dramatic incident, some new revelation; politics proves voters are fickle, and politicians are predictable.

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