Ping-pong political polls: confusion to the constituency

Ping-pong political polls: confusion to the constituency
Polling bounces back and forth almost daily between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who debate again this coming Sunday. (Source:

As the second of three presidential debates looms on Sunday’s horizon, public opinion polls show that Democrat Hillary Clinton has a slight lead over GOP nominee Donald Trump.

But wait a minute. A different poll shows Trump holding a lead over Clinton.

The Rasmussen survey that does daily tracking on the Clinton-Trump race on Friday shows Clinton ahead of Trump 43-42 percent. On Thursday, Trump led Clinton 43-41 percent.

Rasmussen surveys likely U.S. voters for its daily tracking numbers, and dutifully noted in Friday morning’s report, “Trump had similar statistically insignificant leads over the past couple days, but it was the first time he had been ahead since last week’s debate. Just before the debate, he was ahead by five points, the biggest lead either candidate has held since White House Watch began in early August.”

“The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times ‘Daybreak’ poll tracks about 3,000 eligible voters until election day,” the newspaper explains on its website, “asking on a regular basis about their support for Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump or other candidates as well as their likelihood of actually casting a ballot.

“We update the data each day based on the weighted average of poll responses over the previous week. That means results have less volatility than some other polls, but also means the poll lags somewhat in responding to major events in the campaign.”

What could possibly go wrong? Maybe everything?

Daily presidential polls seem to create more confusion than clarity. This year, especially, the polls show one thing above all, however. The race between Clinton and Trump appears very tight but the only poll that counts is on Nov. 8, and that’s when the Electoral College – not necessarily the popular vote – will determine who enters the White House when Barack Obama leaves office.

The bottom line, however, is that people need to vote. From Ft. Lauderdale to Fairbanks, this year perhaps more than any other year, American voters have the chance to determine the direction their country takes for the next four years.

Some pundits say a Clinton victory assures four more years of the Obama doctrine and will turn the nation decidedly far left for the foreseeable future. A Trump win, on the other hand, will put the brakes on Barack’s programs, and keep Clinton out of the Oval Office.


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