On Sunday, Fox News media analyst Howard Kurtz issued a tweet that said internal Bush polling shows a much tighter race in South Carolina than public polls. According to that report, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, is just two points below Trump and appears to be surging.
This conflicts with the Real Clear Politics average, which as of this writing shows Trump 20 points ahead of Cruz.
Internal poll for Bush PAC shows much tighter SC race: Trump 26, Cruz 24, Jeb 12, Rubio 11–while public surveys give Trump a huge lead
— HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016
He also said:
Will this presidential election be the most important in American history?
Memo to Bush PAC says Cruz jump "based on significant support" in upstate S.C. "where evangelical Christians are heavily concentrated"
— HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016
https://twitter.com/ChuckNellis/status/699061331215912960
@ChuckNellis @HowardKurtz This poll is based on normal turnout. I pray it's right. I think JEBS pac was pretty close in NH.
— Hopefuleasonisfuture (@mychloegirl6124) February 15, 2016
https://twitter.com/ChuckNellis/status/699063434298728448
Many others have felt the same thing for some time.
One person wondered:
Gee why would Jeb wants those #s out there vs RCP? Because he needs to take down Rubio, Kasich? @HowardKurtz pic.twitter.com/wTEp39833o
— DanRiehl (@DanRiehl) February 15, 2016
https://twitter.com/BarnMom52/status/699048188314021888
Bingo.
Kurtz also observed:
Polls are snapshots, and often miss the mark. Take internal polls with grain of salt. Trump may attract new voters in SC, we don't know
— HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016
But as the Right Scoop observed, the surge in Iowa turned out against Trump, even though he claimed it was for him.
Related:
- Trump demands Cruz stop negative ads, threatens to sue over eligibility
- Political ‘expert’ Cher: Ted Cruz is ‘SATAN INCARNATE,’ a ‘Judas’ to America, Hitler and a ‘deviant’
- Donald Trump admits he’s no conservative
- Ted Cruz takes high road after Trump threatens lawsuit over Canadian birth
- Ted Cruz does not have to show naturalization papers to keep Senate seat
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